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AJ Styles, Becky Lynch and Baron Corbin are heavy favorites achieve victory at WWE No Mercy this Sunday on the WWE Network. The sportsbook 5Dimes has set early lines have for 7 matches at the event and are known to change drastically in the days and hours leading up to the matches themselves. Allow me to break down these matches and odds with my valuable expert analysis.
WWE World Championship Triple Threat
AJ Styles -1050 vs Field of John Cena and Dean Ambrose +550
No surprises with the main event with Styles being heavily favored. He’s considered an asset now by the WWE since he has proven himself to an asset to the promotion and the wise plan would be for AJ to hang onto that championship as long as possible. We also know that John Cena won’t be around due to the filming of American Grit Season 2 and neither will Dean Ambrose because he has another movie to film for WWE Studios.
The storyline of the match revolves around real life issues between John Cena and Dean Ambrose which resulted in some of the deepest, most powerful promos between the two. This began with Ambrose calling Cena a “lazy part timer” and Cena countering that he worked away from the ring to drive WWE into a truly worldwide entity with designs on a Wrestlemania in China. Dean also brought up that John has his own locker room and didn’t bother with the rest of the performers. Cena took issue with this and explained to “you are the sum of the 5 people you surround yourself with and Dean would slow him down. This would continue for weeks and weeks.
Both challengers may end up too focused on each other and lose sight of the WWE Championship and expect Styles to exploit this and squeak out a victory in the midst of the chaos. There is no champions advantage in place as per the rules of a triple threat match do not permit a count out or a disqualification.
Playing the field here is tempting but risky and consider AJ to be a lock here. For entertainment value picking the field of John Cena and Dean Ambrose is the fun pick, but AJ is money in the bank.
WWE Smackdown Women’s Championship
Becky Lynch -1580 vs Alexa Bliss +750
Massive line for Becky Lynch and I’m very confident she will be able to win so convincingly that the probable finish is Alexa tapping out to Becky clean in the middle of the ring. The risk vs reward is not a smart wager to make. Alexa could pick a win by DQ or count out and drag this feud out another month. A fluke is possible here and Bliss’ “Harley Quinn” cosplay has been catching on and it could be ripe time to elevate Bliss. Stay away from any serious picks on this one.
WWE Smackdown Tag Team Championship
Heath Slater & Rhyno +140 vs The Usos -180
The tag team championships are slightly favored to change hands, save for the DQ or count out provision. This is a good pick but expect the lines to move further in the direction of The Usos. The new heel gimmick has invigorated this team and it must be capitalized on. Heath Slater & Rhyno had a Cinderella run to the titles and The Usos have too much experience as a team to lose again.
WWE Intercontinental Championship vs Career
The Miz -155 vs Dolph Ziggler +115
These lines will change dramatically and I can’t predict which was it will go. Rumors of Dolph taking a job as a WWE producer exist and most believe he will lose and Ric Flair predicting Ziggler retires make these close odds especially shocking. One would think that The Miz, who is having an epic run as IC Champion, would be more heavily favored in the early market. My pick is The Miz though I’m not especially confident in this backing.
Randy Orton +115 vs Bray Wyatt -155
Randy Orton is a good pick here and it’s puzzling that he is an underdog. I could see this one flipping completely. Orton just lost badly twice to Brock Lesnar and Smackdown could use another fan favorite with steam. WWE has shown no commitment to building Bray Wyatt into a main eventer and if he somehow wins expect Bray to become one. No likely,
Nikki Bella -300 vs Carmella +220
Bella’s the obvious pick with Total Bellas premiering. Nikki has the top name value out of all women that currently compete in the WWE. Awesome feud here, but Carmella is being fed to Nikki. Bella is going after the championship from here.
Preshow Match
Jack Swagger +500 vs Baron Corbin -900
Corbin seems like he’s too favored here and Jack Swagger is a smart pick here because he has more of a chance than 5Dimes is currently giving him. Jack has been repackaged and fans are buying into him again. Don’t get it wrong, Baron is probably winning this, but picking Swagger yields a great reward for little risk. The economics point to Swagger.
Will be interesting to see how the lines change at 5Dimes over the weekend.
5Dimes has posted early odds for WWE No Mercy this Sunday on the WWE Network. These lines are for “end of broadcast decision”, meaning that if a match has a “Dusty Finish” the final result is the decision 5Dimes recognizes and grades the the wager. To follow these odds that change dramatically you must register with 5Dimes, however there is no credit card required and no obligation to place any wagers.
WWE World Championship Triple Threat
AJ Styles -1050 vs Field of John Cena and Dean Ambrose +550
WWE Smackdown Women’s Championship
Becky Lynch -1580 vs Alexa Bliss +750
WWE Smackdown Tag Team Championship
Heath Slater & Rhyno +140 vs The Usos -180
WWE Intercontinental Championship vs Career
The Miz -155 vs Dolph Ziggler +115
Randy Orton +115 vs Bray Wyatt -155
Nikki Bella -300 vs Carmella +220
Preshow Match
Jack Swagger +500 vs Baron Corbin -900
5Dimes has finally set the lines for Sunday’s Clash of Champions. The lines changed very quickly from the initial setting.
WWE Universal Championship
Kevin Owens -1050 vs Seth Rollins +550
No surprise here with Owens just winning the title recently and taking a loss to Roman Reigns in a cage match on the go home edition of RAW. Typically a loss on the go home show almost always leads to a victory on the PPV events. Still, Rollins at +550 is tempting as even though he went to a draw with Rusev on RAW, he is considered to have gotten the better off Rusev by jumping of of the announce table onto Rusev. Also, as always, a Rollins win does not necessarily mean a title change with the possibility of a DQ or count out loss, although that would be unlikely with this match likely to go on last.
WWE United States Championship
Rusev +480 vs Roman Reigns -840
Surprising that Roman is favored here with him winning the cage match Monday and with Rusev appearing weaker in his match with Seth Rollins on RAW.
WWE Tag Team Championships
The New Day +330 vs Luke Gallows and Karl Anderson -490
The New Day’s long title reign is probably ending this Sunday and it makes sense as Gallows and Anderson need to get the titles to stay relevant.
WWE Women’s Championship Triple Threat Match
Charlotte -390 vs Sasha Banks +270 vs Bayley +270 (Sasha Banks and Bayley are considered in the “field”, meaning a wager placed against Charlotte includes either woman at +270)
This is tough to call and while it’s tempting to take the field and get two underdogs for the price of one, expect the cunning Charlotte to play Sasha and Bayley against each other and squeak out a victory while everyone involved is not weakened in the least.
WWE Cruiserweight Championship
T.J. Perkins -930 vs Brian Kendrick +510
T.J. Is heavily favored here and Kendrick is probably only in this match because he is a familiar face within the WWE history that can lend that credibility to the new cruiserweight division and champion.
Alicia Fox +850 vs Nia Jax -1750
No secret that Nia is being built into a monster so the lines aren’t shocking. Still, with Alicia being knocked unconcious and left laying by Nia gives a sliver of hope that she could make things interesting by pulling off a fluke here
Best of 7 Finals
Cesaro +185 vs Sheamus -265
The thought here is that Cesaro isn’t in the favor of management and that Sheamus is too valuable to lose this based on how much he gets paid as a downside guarentee.
Sami Zayn -560 vs Chris Jericho +370
These odds make total sense but Jericho has become one of those rare performers that pull off unexpected wins like he did at Wrestlemania 32 against AJ Styles.
These lines can be followed at 5Dimes and all of the above lines are under the “end of broadcast ruling” clause, meaning if the result is reversed before the ending of the PPV then that is the result 5Dimes recognizes.
Here is an idea of what better $1 on everyone would make on a win.
